95%+ Match Rate
Status: Production Ready
Your strategy logic is stable. Backtest and live behavior align well.
Next step: Proceed to Alerts vs Fills to audit execution quality.
Results & Metrics
After running your analysis, the Results section displays comprehensive metrics about how well your backtest aligns with real-time alerts. This guide explains each metric and how to interpret them.
Analysis Summary Cards
Section titled “Analysis Summary Cards”The top-level summary shows key metrics at a glance:
Primary Metrics
Section titled “Primary Metrics”| Metric | Description | Good Value |
|---|---|---|
| Total Backtest Trades | Number of trades in your uploaded CSV | N/A (informational) |
| Total Alert Signals | Number of alerts from your data source | N/A (informational) |
| Matched Trades | Backtest trades that found a matching alert | Higher is better |
| Match Rate | Percentage of backtest trades matched | 95%+ ideal |
Issue Indicators
Section titled “Issue Indicators”| Metric | Description | Ideal Value |
|---|---|---|
| Missed Alerts | Backtest trades with no corresponding alert | 0 (perfect) |
| False Alerts | Alerts with no corresponding backtest trade | 0 (perfect) |
| Avg Time Drift | Average timing difference for matched signals | <1 minute |
| Avg Price Drift | Average price difference for matched signals | <0.5% |
Match Rate Interpretation
Section titled “Match Rate Interpretation”The Match Rate (or Coverage Percentage) is your primary health indicator:
80-95% Match Rate
Status: Minor Issues
Most signals match, but some gaps exist.
Next step: Review the Comparison Grid for patterns in mismatches.
60-80% Match Rate
Status: Significant Issues
Substantial divergence between backtest and alerts.
Next step: Check timezone settings, tolerance configuration, and strategy logic.
Below 60% Match Rate
Status: Critical Issues
Backtest and alerts are fundamentally misaligned.
Next step: Do not trade live. Use AI Insights or manual review to diagnose issues.
Understanding Missed Alerts
Section titled “Understanding Missed Alerts”A Missed Alert occurs when a backtest trade has no corresponding real-time alert within your configured tolerances.
Common Causes
Section titled “Common Causes”| Cause | Description | Solution |
|---|---|---|
| Repainting | Strategy signal only visible historically | Review strategy logic for look-ahead bias |
| Webhook failure | Alert fired but didn’t reach your endpoint | Check webhook configuration and logs |
| Timezone mismatch | Timestamps don’t align | Adjust timezone offset in Backtesting Upload |
| Tight tolerances | Valid alerts exist but outside thresholds | Increase time/price tolerances |
| Alert not configured | TradingView alert wasn’t set up | Verify alert is active for this strategy |
How to Investigate
Section titled “How to Investigate”- Filter to missed alerts in the Comparison Grid
- Check timestamps — Are they consistently off by the same amount?
- Check price chart — Do you see the backtest signal but no alert marker?
- Review webhook logs — Did the alert attempt to send?
Understanding False Alerts
Section titled “Understanding False Alerts”A False Alert occurs when a real-time alert has no corresponding backtest trade.
Common Causes
Section titled “Common Causes”| Cause | Description | Solution |
|---|---|---|
| Early trigger | Alert fired before bar confirmed | Check calc_on_every_tick settings |
| Duplicate alerts | Multiple alerts for same signal | Review TradingView alert conditions |
| Different data feeds | Real-time data differs from backtest | Understand data source differences |
| Strategy changes | Strategy was modified between periods | Ensure consistent strategy version |
| Partial fills | Alert for order that didn’t fully execute | Check order fill logic |
How to Investigate
Section titled “How to Investigate”- Filter to false alerts in the Comparison Grid
- Check the alert details — What signal/price/time was reported?
- Check price chart — Is there market activity at that point?
- Review strategy logic — What conditions could cause this?
Time Drift Analysis
Section titled “Time Drift Analysis”Average Time Drift shows how much, on average, your alerts arrive after the expected backtest timestamp.
Interpreting Time Drift
Section titled “Interpreting Time Drift”| Avg Drift | Interpretation |
|---|---|
| < 30 seconds | Excellent — signals are nearly real-time |
| 30s - 2 minutes | Good — minor network/processing delays |
| 2-5 minutes | Acceptable — within typical tolerances |
| > 5 minutes | Concerning — investigate the cause |
Causes of Time Drift
Section titled “Causes of Time Drift”- Network latency — Time for webhook to travel
- TradingView processing — Alert queue delays
- Bar boundary timing — When exactly the bar closes
- Timezone calculation — Display vs. actual times
Price Drift Analysis
Section titled “Price Drift Analysis”Average Price Drift shows how much, on average, the alert price differs from the backtest price.
Interpreting Price Drift
Section titled “Interpreting Price Drift”| Avg Drift | Interpretation |
|---|---|
| < 0.1% | Excellent — prices nearly identical |
| 0.1-0.5% | Good — within typical market noise |
| 0.5-1% | Acceptable — some slippage present |
| > 1% | Concerning — significant price differences |
Causes of Price Drift
Section titled “Causes of Price Drift”- Market volatility — Prices move between signal and alert
- Bid/ask spread — Alert captures different price point
- Different price types — Close vs. last vs. mark price
- Data feed differences — Historical vs. real-time feeds
Next Step Recommendations
Section titled “Next Step Recommendations”Based on your results, the system provides actionable guidance:
For High Match Rates (95%+)
Section titled “For High Match Rates (95%+)”Your strategy logic is validated. The natural next step is execution quality:
Proceed to Alerts vs Fills to verify your broker is executing orders correctly.
For Medium Match Rates (80-95%)
Section titled “For Medium Match Rates (80-95%)”Some issues need attention before live trading:
Review the Comparison Grid to identify patterns in mismatches.
For Low Match Rates (Below 80%)
Section titled “For Low Match Rates (Below 80%)”Significant work needed before deployment:
Use AI Insights for automated diagnosis and recommendations.
Saving Your Results
Section titled “Saving Your Results”Don’t lose your analysis! Use the snapshot features:
| Action | Purpose |
|---|---|
| Save Snapshot | Preserve this analysis for future reference |
| Load Snapshot | Restore a previous analysis session |
| Export | Download results for external analysis |
Visual Analysis Components
Section titled “Visual Analysis Components”Beyond the summary metrics, explore these detailed views:
| Component | Purpose | Link |
|---|---|---|
| Comparison Grid | Row-by-row signal pairing | Details → |
| Price Chart | Visual overlay of signals | Details → |
| AI Insights | Automated pattern analysis | Details → |
Related Sections
Section titled “Related Sections”- Analysis Configuration — Adjust tolerances to improve matching
- Comparison Grid — Detailed signal-by-signal view
- AI Insights — Get AI-powered recommendations
- Troubleshooting — Common issues and solutions